Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002021 0.002146 0.002275 0.002419 0.002576 0.002741 0.002928
2025-05-04 0.001878 0.002059 0.002255 0.002482 0.002741 0.003028 0.003370
2025-05-11 0.001791 0.002013 0.002261 0.002560 0.002913 0.003320 0.003828
2025-05-18 0.001695 0.001943 0.002228 0.002581 0.003011 0.003523 0.004186
2025-05-25 0.001581 0.001841 0.002146 0.002532 0.003015 0.003606 0.004397
2025-06-01 0.001496 0.001767 0.002089 0.002506 0.003040 0.003711 0.004634
2025-06-08 0.001444 0.001727 0.002070 0.002524 0.003118 0.003882 0.004965
2025-06-15 0.001378 0.001666 0.002022 0.002499 0.003135 0.003973 0.005190
2025-06-22 0.001323 0.001616 0.001982 0.002482 0.003160 0.004072 0.005431
2025-06-29 0.001270 0.001566 0.001940 0.002458 0.003173 0.004153 0.005646
2025-07-06 0.001218 0.001514 0.001892 0.002423 0.003167 0.004205 0.005820
2025-07-13 0.001156 0.001446 0.001821 0.002353 0.003108 0.004176 0.005870
2025-07-20 0.001129 0.001428 0.001818 0.002381 0.003197 0.004378 0.006304
2025-07-27 0.001113 0.001421 0.001832 0.002434 0.003324 0.004646 0.006869
2025-08-03 0.001104 0.001426 0.001860 0.002507 0.003486 0.004976 0.007567
2025-08-10 0.001078 0.001405 0.001851 0.002527 0.003566 0.005185 0.008080
2025-08-17 0.001033 0.001355 0.001799 0.002479 0.003540 0.005220 0.008291
2025-08-24 0.000998 0.001318 0.001763 0.002454 0.003547 0.005308 0.008605
2025-08-31 0.000978 0.001301 0.001756 0.002471 0.003621 0.005513 0.009151
2025-09-07 0.000947 0.001268 0.001723 0.002446 0.003626 0.005599 0.009479
2025-09-14 0.000920 0.001239 0.001696 0.002430 0.003642 0.005705 0.009856
2025-09-21 0.000892 0.001209 0.001666 0.002407 0.003646 0.005787 0.010192
2025-09-28 0.000864 0.001176 0.001630 0.002372 0.003628 0.005830 0.010450